Article 2016

Does more general education reduce the risk of future unemployment? Evidence from an expansion of vocational upper secondary education

Economics of Education Review
Journal · Vol. 52 · pp. 251-271
Abstract

This paper investigates whether acquiring more general education reduces the risk of future unemployment. I study an educational reform in Sweden which prolonged the vocational programs in upper secondary school and gave them a considerably larger general content. The research design exploits variation across regions and over time in the implementation of a large-scale pilot which preceded the reform. I examine the students’ labor market experiences during the 2008−2010 recession, at which time they had reached their late 30 s. I find no evidence that having attended a longer and more general program reduced the risk of experiencing unemployment. Among students with low GPAs from compulsory school, attending a pilot program seems instead to have led to an increased risk of unemployment. This pattern is strongest among male students and the effect is likely to be explained by the increased dropout rate which resulted from the change of the programs. © 2016 Elsevier Ltd

Keywords

Author Keywords

Vocational education unemployment Upper secondary school curriculum

Index Keywords

Risk assessment Vocational education education reform labor market educational attainment unemployment Sweden secondary education future prospect
Author Affiliations
Institutet för arbetsmarknads- och utbildningspolitisk utvärdering, Uppsala, Uppsala, Sweden
Funding & Acknowledgements
Forskningsrådet om Hälsa, Arbetsliv och Välfärd, FORTE
Grant: 2011-1045
I acknowledge valuable comments from Erik Grönqvist, Oskar Nordström Skans, Ofer Malamud, and seminar participants at IFAU, CAFO at Linnaeus University, and the Swedish National Agency for Education. The author is grateful for financial support from the Swedish Research Council for Health, Working Life and Welfare (FORTE, grant number 2011-1045).
Forskningsrådet om Hälsa, Arbetsliv och Välfärd, FORTE
I acknowledge valuable comments from Erik Grönqvist, Oskar Nordström Skans, Ofer Malamud, and seminar participants at IFAU, CAFO at Linnaeus University, and the Swedish National Agency for Education. The author is grateful for financial support from the Swedish Research Council for Health, Working Life and Welfare (FORTE, grant number 2011-1045).
References 10 References
1 Altonji, Joseph G., The effects of high school curriculum on education and labor market outcomes, Journal of Human Resources, 30, 3, pp. 409-438, (1995)
2 Sociology of Education, (1995)
3 Bishop, John H., The impacts of minimum competency exam graduation requirements on high school graduation, college attendance and early labor market success, Labour Economics, 8, 2, pp. 203-222, (2001)
4 Do High School Exit Exams Influence Educational Attainment or Labor Market Performance, (2006)
5 Duflo, Esther, Schooling and labor market consequences of school construction in Indonesia: Evidence from an unusual policy experiment, American Economic Review, 91, 4, pp. 795-813, (2001)
6 Fersterer, Josef, Returns to apprenticeship training in Austria: Evidence from failed firms, Scandinavian Journal of Economics, 110, 4, pp. 733-753, (2008)
7 Goldin, Claudia Dale, The human-capital century and American leadership: Virtues of the past, Journal of Economic History, 61, 2, pp. 263-292, (2001)
8 Government Bill 1987 88 102 Om Utveckling Av Yrkesutbildningen I Gymnasieskolan
9 Government Bill 1990 91 85 Vaxa Med Kunskaper Om Gymnasieskolan Och Vuxenutbildningen
10 Grönqvist, Hans, Education policy and early fertility: Lessons from an expansion of upper secondary schooling, Economics of Education Review, 37, pp. 13-33, (2013)
Quick Actions
Full Text via DOI
Citation Metrics
50
Times Cited (Scopus)

References 10
Document Identifiers