Article Green Open Access 2014

The impact of labor market entry conditions on initial job assignment and wages

Journal of Population Economics
Journal · Vol. 27 · Issue 3 · pp. 705-738
Abstract

We estimate the effects of labor market entry conditions on wages for male individuals first entering the Austrian labor market between 1978 and 2000. We find a large negative effect of unfavorable entry conditions on starting wages and a sizable negative long-run effect. Our preferred estimates imply a decrease in starting wages by about 0.9 % and a lifetime loss in wages of about 1.3 % for an increase in the initial local unemployment rate by one percentage point. We show that poor entry conditions are associated with lower quality of a worker's first employer and that the quality of workers' first employer explains as much as three-quarters of the observed long-run wage effects resulting from poor entry conditions. Moreover, wage effects are much more persistent for blue-collar workers because some of them appear to be permanently locked in into low-paying jobs/tasks. © 2013 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg.

Keywords

Author Keywords

Endogenous labor market entry Initial job assignment Initial labor market conditions

Index Keywords

Author Affiliations
Swiss Federal Institute for Vocational Education and Training, Zollikofen, Switzerland, Department of Economics, Universität Zürich, Zurich, ZH, Switzerland, IZA - Institute of Labor Economics, Bonn, Nordrhein-Westfalen, Germany
ZHAW Zurich University of Applied Sciences, Winterthur, ZH, Switzerland, Department of Economics, Universität Zürich, Zurich, ZH, Switzerland
Funding & Acknowledgements
Austrian Science Fund, FWF
We thank two anonymous referees, Joshua Angrist, Johann Brunner, Pierre Cahuc, Christian Dustmann, Marcus Hagedorn, Martin Halla, Christian Hepenstrick, Helmut Hofer, Steinar Holden, Bo Honoré, Rafael Lalive, Michael Lechner, Andrew Oswald, Tamas Papp, Michael Reiter, Steven Stillman, Petra Todd, Till von Wachter, Rudolf Winter-Ebmer, Andrea Weber, Tobias Würgler, Josef Zweimüller, seminar participants in Engelberg, Linz, Vienna, Weggis, and Zurich, as well as participants at the 2009 Spring Meeting of Young Economists in Istanbul, the 15th International Conference on Panel Data in Bonn, and the 13th IZA European Summer School in Labor Economics in Buch/Ammersee for helpful comments and suggestions at various stages of this project. Financial support by the Austrian Science Fund is gratefully acknowledged (“The Austrian Center for Labor Economics and the Analysis of the Welfare State”).
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