Article 2026

Education and skill mismatches in the German labour market: the role of vocational and occupational specificity from a career perspective

Oxford Economic Papers
Journal · Vol. 78 · Issue 1 · pp. 289-308
Abstract

Previous research shows that individuals’ educational level is associated with skill mismatch, but knowledge about the influence of horizontal dimensions of education and education’s variation throughout the career is limited. This study analyses the link between education and skill mismatch by considering the influence of educational levels, vocational specificity, and occupational specificity from a career perspective. Using the survey wave 2016 of the German NEPS Adult Cohort, I find that individuals with a higher educational level are less likely to be underskilled, but more likely to be overskilled. Conversely, higher vocational specificity is associated with a higher likelihood of underskilling but a lower likelihood of overskilling, whereas occupational specificity is not significantly related to skill mismatches. The findings also highlight that the link between education and skill mismatch varies with time since graduation, and that the role of vocational and occupational specificity differs across educational levels. © The Author(s) [2025]. Published by Oxford University Press. All rights reserved.

Keywords

Author Keywords

career perspective horizontal education National Educational Panel Study (NEPS) skill mismatch occupational specificity vertical education vocational specificity

Index Keywords

education occupation spatial mismatch Germany
Author Affiliations
Federal Institute for Population Research, Wiesbaden, Germany
Funding & Acknowledgements
Leibniz-Institut für Bildungsverläufe, LIfBi
The author is grateful to the journal\u2019s editor and two anonymous referees for their constructive comments and suggestions. The author also thanks Michael Gebel and GuidoHeineck, as well as former colleagues from the Leibniz Institute for EducationalTrajectories, the Bamberg Graduate School of Social Sciences, and the Chair forEconomics, esp. Empirical Microeconomics at the University of Bamberg for their insightful comments and suggestions.
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