Article 2008

Modelling trajectories through the educational system in North West England

PR
Penn, Roger D.
 BD
Berridge, Damon Mark
Education Economics
Journal · Vol. 16 · Issue 4 · pp. 411-431
Abstract

The main aim of this paper is to identify those school-level and locality-level factors that significantly affect each of the three stages in a young adult's educational trajectory in North West England: GCSE results, track taken at age 16 and 'A'-level scores. By applying three-level models to data collected as part of the EFFNATIS project, we find no evidence of any locality-level effects. Overall, none of the explanatory variables conventionally considered to affect educational attainment had a consistent effect across all three stages. Rather, each explanatory variable had a contingent effect at specific points within the overall trajectory of educational outcomes.

Keywords

Author Keywords

Multinomial logit 'A'-level scores GCSE scores Linear regression Multi-level models Track taken at age 16

Index Keywords

United Kingdom Regression analysis educational attainment numerical model young population Europe logit analysis Western Europe England Eurasia
Author Affiliations
Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Lancaster University, Lancaster, Lancashire, United Kingdom
Funding & Acknowledgements
No funding information
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