Review Gold Open Access 2023

A systematic literature review: Recent techniques of predicting STEM stream students

Computers and Education: Artificial Intelligence
Journal · Vol. 5 · Art. 100141
Abstract

Nowadays, fewer students are choosing to enroll in STEM (science, technology, engineering, and mathematics) fields. STEM students in schools and in higher educational institutions appear to be waning, as evidenced by low secondary school STEM enrolments. To add to this, there are also STEM stream students who dropped out and switched to non-STEM streams. This resulted in a shortage of qualified candidates for STEM-based higher education programmes, and subsequently an insufficient number of STEM graduates. Researchers have found several potential contributing factors that may have impacted students’ selection of STEM. However, this relationship is still unclear and needs further investigation. This goal of this systematic review is to assess the factors that can be used to predict students’ selection of a STEM major using existing techniques. To do this, PRISMA's Systematic Literature Review (SLR) process was used to map the findings of previous studies based on the designed research questions (RQs). More specifically, the objective of this analysis was to compile, summarise, and assess related works in order to identify current contributing variables, potential techniques, dataset characteristics, challenges, and future directions within the scope of this investigation. Papers published in major online scientific databases, including Science Direct, Scopus, IEEE Xplore, ACM, ProQuest, and Springer, between 2011 and April 2021 were identified and analyzed. Although there were 1248 publications found through extensive SLR selection processes using specific inclusion and exclusion criteria, only 121 articles were selected. After being analyzed, only 16 articles were found to have discussed about machine learning (ML) techniques and showed that the most accurate predictions were possible based on different variables or factors. In addition, the dataset characteristics were found to have impacted the accuracy of the prediction results. However, the available evidences were limited, and the output findings from each study reviewed were relatively diverse. Therefore, evidences discussing the potential usefulness of ML techniques to analyse the relationship between contributing factors should be strengthened. © 2023 The Authors

Keywords

Author Keywords

Systematic literature review Machine learning prediction STEM stream

Index Keywords

Author Affiliations
School of Computer Science, Universiti Sains Malaysia, Gelugor, Penang, Malaysia, Digital Management and Development Centre, Universiti Malaysia Perlis, Arau, Perlis, Malaysia
School of Computer Science, Universiti Sains Malaysia, Gelugor, Penang, Malaysia
Funding & Acknowledgements
Grant: J48
Environmental Factors: Environmental factors category looks at how support from friends and families, academic environments, including mentoring relationships, and residential environments would have a more positive outcome and expectations in the STEM field, and they serve as a protective factor in academically challenging environments, as well as an important socialising agent in determining the field of study choice. The variable of parental encouragement was discovered to be a critical developmental predictor that laid the groundwork for a STEM career (Wang and Zhao, 2012; Wang, Ye and Degol, 2017). The breadth of teacher influence variables include anything from assisting students in improving their academic success and self-assurance to maximising student exposure to mathematics and science courses, which was a significant predictor of STEM growth (Heaverlo, 2011; Sellami, El-Kassem, Al-Qassass and Al-Rakeb, 2017; Wang and Kenny, 2011). Teachers can take various steps in the classroom to improve student engagement and confidence (Rabenberg, 2013). Student's STEM career aspiration variable has a remarkable influence on the environmental factor category in students’ STEM prediction (Radzi and Sulaiman, 2018). Researches had shown that students who have a clear and defined career goal in a STEM field were more likely to persist in their studies and eventually enter into a STEM profession. One of the main factors contributing to their career aspiration in STEM was the recruitment opportunities after degree. Some literatures also considered financial aid such as scholarship and merit-based aid program affected students’ college decisions in STEM fields major (Sjoquist and Winters, 2015; Sinatra, Brem, & Evans, 2008). Financial aid made available to students in urban areas (Ansong, Okumu, Albritton, Bahnuk, & Small, 2020), may make STEM education more accessible than it is in rural regions. Financial hurdles were cited as a reason why high school students chose not to pursue STEM areas in college. Indeed, Wang and Kenny (2011) found a link between financial aid and being driven to do well in mathematics and pursuing STEM careers in college.The findings of this research highlighted the enormous potential of the ML-based prediction method, the newest development in STEM stream predictions, as well as the need for more research in the future. Although only a few articles reported about the use of ML, it is showing an upward trend in recent publications. There is also the fact that ML is open to potential improvement that has yet to be considered. There is evidence that ML techniques have become increasingly popular for prediction and many decisions have been made as a result of the effective and efficient use of data mining. As an example, in an educational dataset, ML techniques can be used to uncover hidden patterns and create a prediction system that can forecast a group of secondary school subjects (e.g. Science, Business Studies, and Humanities) (Hasan et al., 2020). The classification technique in supervised ML was found to be more popular in the review, with 11 articles, compared to Deep Learning-based approaches, which had only two. According to the literatures, the classification method, predicts a discrete output value that can be implemented utilising a number of different algorithms: Support Vector Machine (SVM), including Naive Bayes (NB), Logical Regression (LR), Random Forest (RF), Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT), k-Nearest Neighbour (kNN), Decision Tree (DT), J48, and Bayesian Model algorithm. However, none of the papers mentioned that a regression approach such as Linear Regression or Decision Trees Regressor, which predicts a continuous value output, may be used. Despite the fact that unsupervised learning techniques were rarely discussed in the literature, it is interesting to note that numerous clustering algorithms, such as Fuzzy and K-means, have been applied (2 articles). This strategy is advantageous when the data set has no labels applied to it. It looks for tendencies that have not been seen before but with the least amount of human examination.The authors would like to express their gratitude to Universiti Sains Malaysia (USM) and Universiti Malaysia Perlis (UniMAP) for their support in completing this study.
Universiti Sains Malaysia, USM
Environmental Factors: Environmental factors category looks at how support from friends and families, academic environments, including mentoring relationships, and residential environments would have a more positive outcome and expectations in the STEM field, and they serve as a protective factor in academically challenging environments, as well as an important socialising agent in determining the field of study choice. The variable of parental encouragement was discovered to be a critical developmental predictor that laid the groundwork for a STEM career (Wang and Zhao, 2012; Wang, Ye and Degol, 2017). The breadth of teacher influence variables include anything from assisting students in improving their academic success and self-assurance to maximising student exposure to mathematics and science courses, which was a significant predictor of STEM growth (Heaverlo, 2011; Sellami, El-Kassem, Al-Qassass and Al-Rakeb, 2017; Wang and Kenny, 2011). Teachers can take various steps in the classroom to improve student engagement and confidence (Rabenberg, 2013). Student's STEM career aspiration variable has a remarkable influence on the environmental factor category in students’ STEM prediction (Radzi and Sulaiman, 2018). Researches had shown that students who have a clear and defined career goal in a STEM field were more likely to persist in their studies and eventually enter into a STEM profession. One of the main factors contributing to their career aspiration in STEM was the recruitment opportunities after degree. Some literatures also considered financial aid such as scholarship and merit-based aid program affected students’ college decisions in STEM fields major (Sjoquist and Winters, 2015; Sinatra, Brem, & Evans, 2008). Financial aid made available to students in urban areas (Ansong, Okumu, Albritton, Bahnuk, & Small, 2020), may make STEM education more accessible than it is in rural regions. Financial hurdles were cited as a reason why high school students chose not to pursue STEM areas in college. Indeed, Wang and Kenny (2011) found a link between financial aid and being driven to do well in mathematics and pursuing STEM careers in college.The findings of this research highlighted the enormous potential of the ML-based prediction method, the newest development in STEM stream predictions, as well as the need for more research in the future. Although only a few articles reported about the use of ML, it is showing an upward trend in recent publications. There is also the fact that ML is open to potential improvement that has yet to be considered. There is evidence that ML techniques have become increasingly popular for prediction and many decisions have been made as a result of the effective and efficient use of data mining. As an example, in an educational dataset, ML techniques can be used to uncover hidden patterns and create a prediction system that can forecast a group of secondary school subjects (e.g. Science, Business Studies, and Humanities) (Hasan et al., 2020). The classification technique in supervised ML was found to be more popular in the review, with 11 articles, compared to Deep Learning-based approaches, which had only two. According to the literatures, the classification method, predicts a discrete output value that can be implemented utilising a number of different algorithms: Support Vector Machine (SVM), including Naive Bayes (NB), Logical Regression (LR), Random Forest (RF), Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT), k-Nearest Neighbour (kNN), Decision Tree (DT), J48, and Bayesian Model algorithm. However, none of the papers mentioned that a regression approach such as Linear Regression or Decision Trees Regressor, which predicts a continuous value output, may be used. Despite the fact that unsupervised learning techniques were rarely discussed in the literature, it is interesting to note that numerous clustering algorithms, such as Fuzzy and K-means, have been applied (2 articles). This strategy is advantageous when the data set has no labels applied to it. It looks for tendencies that have not been seen before but with the least amount of human examination.The authors would like to express their gratitude to Universiti Sains Malaysia (USM) and Universiti Malaysia Perlis (UniMAP) for their support in completing this study.
Universiti Malaysia Perlis
Environmental Factors: Environmental factors category looks at how support from friends and families, academic environments, including mentoring relationships, and residential environments would have a more positive outcome and expectations in the STEM field, and they serve as a protective factor in academically challenging environments, as well as an important socialising agent in determining the field of study choice. The variable of parental encouragement was discovered to be a critical developmental predictor that laid the groundwork for a STEM career (Wang and Zhao, 2012; Wang, Ye and Degol, 2017). The breadth of teacher influence variables include anything from assisting students in improving their academic success and self-assurance to maximising student exposure to mathematics and science courses, which was a significant predictor of STEM growth (Heaverlo, 2011; Sellami, El-Kassem, Al-Qassass and Al-Rakeb, 2017; Wang and Kenny, 2011). Teachers can take various steps in the classroom to improve student engagement and confidence (Rabenberg, 2013). Student's STEM career aspiration variable has a remarkable influence on the environmental factor category in students’ STEM prediction (Radzi and Sulaiman, 2018). Researches had shown that students who have a clear and defined career goal in a STEM field were more likely to persist in their studies and eventually enter into a STEM profession. One of the main factors contributing to their career aspiration in STEM was the recruitment opportunities after degree. Some literatures also considered financial aid such as scholarship and merit-based aid program affected students’ college decisions in STEM fields major (Sjoquist and Winters, 2015; Sinatra, Brem, & Evans, 2008). Financial aid made available to students in urban areas (Ansong, Okumu, Albritton, Bahnuk, & Small, 2020), may make STEM education more accessible than it is in rural regions. Financial hurdles were cited as a reason why high school students chose not to pursue STEM areas in college. Indeed, Wang and Kenny (2011) found a link between financial aid and being driven to do well in mathematics and pursuing STEM careers in college.The findings of this research highlighted the enormous potential of the ML-based prediction method, the newest development in STEM stream predictions, as well as the need for more research in the future. Although only a few articles reported about the use of ML, it is showing an upward trend in recent publications. There is also the fact that ML is open to potential improvement that has yet to be considered. There is evidence that ML techniques have become increasingly popular for prediction and many decisions have been made as a result of the effective and efficient use of data mining. As an example, in an educational dataset, ML techniques can be used to uncover hidden patterns and create a prediction system that can forecast a group of secondary school subjects (e.g. Science, Business Studies, and Humanities) (Hasan et al., 2020). The classification technique in supervised ML was found to be more popular in the review, with 11 articles, compared to Deep Learning-based approaches, which had only two. According to the literatures, the classification method, predicts a discrete output value that can be implemented utilising a number of different algorithms: Support Vector Machine (SVM), including Naive Bayes (NB), Logical Regression (LR), Random Forest (RF), Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT), k-Nearest Neighbour (kNN), Decision Tree (DT), J48, and Bayesian Model algorithm. However, none of the papers mentioned that a regression approach such as Linear Regression or Decision Trees Regressor, which predicts a continuous value output, may be used. Despite the fact that unsupervised learning techniques were rarely discussed in the literature, it is interesting to note that numerous clustering algorithms, such as Fuzzy and K-means, have been applied (2 articles). This strategy is advantageous when the data set has no labels applied to it. It looks for tendencies that have not been seen before but with the least amount of human examination.The authors would like to express their gratitude to Universiti Sains Malaysia (USM) and Universiti Malaysia Perlis (UniMAP) for their support in completing this study.
References 10 References
1 Journal of Network and Innovative Computing, (2013)
2 Raut, Roshani, An incremental ensemble of classifiers as a technique for prediction of student's career choice, 1st International Conference on Networks and Soft Computing, ICNSC 2014 - Proceedings, pp. 384-387, (2014)
3 Aǧirdaǧ, Orhan, The impact of school SES composition on science achievement and achievement growth: mediating role of teachers’ teachability culture, Educational Research and Evaluation, 24, 3-5, pp. 264-276, (2018)
4 Tunku Ahmad, Tunku Badariah, Drivers of secondary school students' intention to enrol in science studies, Universal Journal of Educational Research, 7, 10, pp. 42-47, (2019)
5 Ahmed, Wondimu, Developmental trajectories of math anxiety during adolescence: Associations with STEM career choice, Journal of Adolescence, 67, pp. 158-166, (2018)
6 Ahmed, Sheikh Arif, A machine learning approach to Predict the Engineering Students at risk of dropout and factors behind: Bangladesh Perspective, 2019 10th International Conference on Computing, Communication and Networking Technologies, ICCCNT 2019, (2019)
7 Ainley, Mary D., Student engagement with science in early adolescence: The contribution of enjoyment to students' continuing interest in learning about science, Contemporary Educational Psychology, 36, 1, pp. 4-12, (2011)
8 Ainslie, Paul J., Human Resource Development and Expanding STEM Career Learning Opportunities: Exploration, Internships, and Externships, Advances in Developing Human Resources, 21, 1, pp. 35-48, (2019)
9 Alhaddab, Taghreed A., Future scientists: How women's and minorities' math self-efficacy and science perception affect their STEM major selection, ISEC 2015 - 5th IEEE Integrated STEM Education Conference, pp. 58-63, (2015)
10 Ali, Usman, A hybrid scheme for feature selection of high dimensional educational data, 2019 International Conference on Communication Technologies, ComTech 2019, pp. 71-75, (2019)
Quick Actions
Full Text via DOI
Citation Metrics
15
Times Cited (Scopus)

References 10
Document Identifiers